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China Under Hu Jintao
edited by Tun-jen Cheng (College of William and Mary, USA), Jacques deLisle (University of Pennsylvania, USA) &
Deborah Brown (Seton Hall University, USA)

Chapter 1: Political Succession: Changing Guards and Changing Rules
Joseph Fewsmith

THE POLITICAL REPORT OF THE SIXTEENTH PARTY CONGRESS

The same tension between institutionalization of the political system and the continued exercise of noninstitutional, or at least nonlegalrational forms of political power was reflected in the political report that Jiang Zemin delivered to the congress. If the words of Jiang Zemin's political report can be taken at face value, the political leadership was trying to implement the call in Jiang's July 1, 2001 speech to transform the CCP from a revolutionary party into a ruling party. That meant institutionalizing party affairs, regularizing the party's relationship with the state, placing the operations of the party within the scope of the law, and regularizing the party's relations with society by recruiting (co-opting) "advanced elements" from social sectors that had emerged in the course of reform (i.e., private entrepreneurs).

Indeed, a significant part of the work report was written as if the drafters had had Max Weber's work on bureaucracy at hand. It demanded:

  • "Party members and cadres, especially leading cadres, must be models in abiding by the constitution and law.” Indeed, the report called, as others have in the past, for exercizing the CCP's authority through the law. In this regard, the report called for improving the judicial system so that it would be "impartial in enforcing the law."

  • Changing the functions and behavior of government so that they would be characterized by "standardized behavior, coordinated operations, fairness, transparency, honesty, and high efficiency."

  • Improving the cadre and personnel system so that it would become "scientific, democratic, and institutionalized." In this regard, Jiang called for expanding "the rights of party members and the masses to know, participate in, select, and supervise” the selection of cadres.

  • Building a mechanism for the exercise of power, marked by a reasonable structure, scientific distribution, rigorous procedure, and effective restraints. In this regard, the political report, which hardly discussed political reform, nevertheless called for the building of "socialist political civilization," which many take as a code word for political reform. In discussing socialist political civilization, Jiang called for "strengthening supervision over power in decision making, execution, and other areas."

    Such prescriptions seem to indicate recognition of the need to create a better, more efficient bureaucracy that is subject to effective constraints and "public" supervision. This is not a new recognition in China but rather it follows the line of thinking of numerous policy documents over the past two decades that push in the same direction. Nevertheless, one might argue that the social problems facing China and the imperatives of succession politics are imparting a new urgency to this bureaucratic rationalization.

    Nevertheless, just as there are forces at the highest political level that push back against efforts to institutionalize the political system, there are also political forces that slow and distort this effort to reinstitutionalize administrative authority. The single biggest problem is easily stated: The logic of legal-rational authority is quite different from the logic of Leninist systems, and the CCP resists giving up its prerogatives as the pervasive political organization, penetrating as many arenas of society as possible. Granted, the enormous changes in Chinese life over the last two decades, particularly the erosion of the danwei (work unit) and hukou (household registration) systems have made this more difficult, but the party has not given up the struggle. Indeed, there is at least as much attention being paid to party building these days as in years past.

    The political report to the Sixteenth Party Congress, not unexpectedly, placed a great deal of emphasis on the "Three Represents" in its section on party building, and certainly the emphasis on ideology in party building is not new. The "Three Represents" suggests that the nature of the party may change (as liberals hope and conservatives fear) as private entrepreneurs are recruited into the party (though the number of entrepreneurs who have joined the party is actually quite small). Potentially, the biggest changes may derive from changes in the way the party operates. If "inner-party democracy" were genuinely expanded so that the party "fully reflect[ed] the will of party members and organizations" that would be a fundamental change in the CCP's "democratic centralism," and for that reason is not likely to happen. Indeed, early experiments are not altogether encouraging. Change may also come with establishing party delegates as some sort of permanent organ, rather than convening solely for quinquennial party congresses. Such changes, likely to come slowly if at all, are intended to make the party more effective, not to change its role in Chinese life.

    Indeed, perhaps the most surprising aspect of the CCP's effort to remake itself as a "ruling" party rather than as a "revolutionary" party is its refusal to withdraw from various areas of social life. It seems plausible that, if the CCP really desired to act as a "ruling" party and to govern the country through law and a legal-rational bureaucracy, it would begin to withdraw from certain areas of Chinese life, or at least not push into those areas that have emerged in recent years outside of party control. This applies first and foremost to the private economy. If the party really wanted to exercise political control as a ruling party, it would move away from the traditional model of controlling society through the penetration of danwei and exercise control geographically and through the use of law. That is to say, a form of political power that would be much more compatible with legal-rational authority would be to adopt consciously a model that would accept the nonexistence of CCP party branches in private enterprises, believing that, as long as such enterprises obeyed the law, they should be left alone and otherwise unsupervised. Such a model would give greater play to the role of law, impartial administration, and economic efficiency.

    It is possible that such a model may yet emerge; the CCP has not been notably successful in penetrating private enterprises, and where it is successful, it seems to play a very nontraditional role (this is particularly true if the enterprise head is the secretary of the party branch, making the party branch a means of enforcing worker discipline within the enterprise). But clearly the party hopes to maintain its traditional control through the danwei system; thus, in his report to the Sixteenth Party Congress, Jiang called for "strengthen[ing] party-building in nonpublic enterprises," as he had done before.

    One is also confronted by the anomalous situation of the CCP carrying out yet another rectification campaign, even as the party stresses the role of law. In January 2005, the CCP launched a campaign to "uphold the advanced nature of Chinese Communist Party Members." This campaign is the third such rectification campaign launched since the start of the reform era. Although rectification campaigns in the contemporary period lack the fury of campaigns in the Maoist period, they still use the old methods of studying documents, writing expositions on one's thoughts, and criticism and self-criticism in an effort to enhance ideological control and reinforce party organization and authority. They also seem intimately related to the consolidation of leadership control and political interpretations. Thus, the first rectification campaign was launched in 1983 and was connected with the consolidation of the Dengist "line" of "building socialism with Chinese characteristics," while the second campaign (known as the "Three Stresses" (sanjiang) was launched in 1998 and consolidated the authority of Jiang Zemin. It seems no coincidence that two years after Hu Jintao became general secretary of the party (and three months after Jiang Zemin stepped down as head of the powerful Central Military Commission) that this latest campaign was launched (though party documents say that it was approved by the Sixteenth Party Congress). Campaigns are obviously a legacy of the party's revolutionary years and their continued existence, no matter how attenuated by comparison with earlier campaigns, suggests that a logic other than institutionalization remains at work.

    One could make the same argument regarding China's villages. Villages in China's administrative system are formally "self-governing." It is on that basis that they have been allowed to have elections over the past decade for village heads, but not, generally speaking, for party secretaries. If the party wants to continue to exercise control as a ruling party, it could either allow direct elections of party secretaries at the village level (something that has happened in a few places) or withdraw to the township level (or perhaps even the county level, since there has been extensive discussion about abolishing or curtailing the role of the township level of government). But the desire to penetrate society remains strong, and Jiang Zemin called again in his Political Succession: Changing Guards and Changing Rules 43 report to the party congress to strengthen party organizations at the village level.

    The same tendency to move toward the rule of law while not giving up the traditional prerogatives of party control can be seen in the "Religious Affairs Regulations" that went into effect on March 1, 2005. Although the regulations place the management of religious activities on a legal basis (recognizing the "legitimate" rights of worshippers), authoritative commentary on the regulations states explicitly that the new regulations "will not weaken party leadership over religious work." On the contrary, the commentary continues, the regulations are "an important guarantee for, and a way of, strengthening and improving leadership over religious work in the new situation."

    What should we make of the outwardly smooth transition in power from Jiang Zemin to Hu Jintao? As noted above, Jiang Zemin enlarged the Standing Committee of the Politburo, packed it with his supporters, and retained chairmanship of the CMC--seemingly leaving Hu Jintao weak and potentially vulnerable. However, Jiang Zemin stepped down from the military commission in September 2004. Does this indicate that institutions are stronger than apparent from the outside and the political system can now be properly described as "institutionalized"?

    This is a question that needs to be explored as more details of the transition become known. There were considerable public indications of tension between Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao in the period after Hu succeeded as general secretary. The decision for Jiang Zemin to retire as head of the military commission appears to have been reached rather suddenly in August 2004, perhaps indicating that his decision was not altogether voluntary. If this scenario is borne out, then the question is: How did Hu Jintao acquire sufficient power to pressure his predecessor to leave office? Institutionalization is no doubt part of the answer--incumbency confers leverage in all political systems, and Hu Jintao appears to have been able to use the institutional levers of power to his advantage in the two years between becoming general secretary and Jiang Zemin's leaving his last post. But institutionalization does not appear to be the complete answer. As with other senior leaders in China, Hu Jintao has enjoyed considerable informal power, conferred by his relations with retired party leaders and those currently serving at various party and governmental levels. He also had access to information on the business activities of various leaders and their families. Some of this information might have reflected poorly on either Jiang Zemin or some of his close associates. Whether Hu used such resources remains speculative, but the possibility suggests that institutionalization is not the only possible explanation for the transfer of power.

    CONCLUSION

    Over the past two decades, there have been many forces that have been tempering the CCP's Leninist approach to political control and fostering a more "normal" relationship between state and society; mobilization has been giving way to administration. Yet, before we assume that political reform can occur in a seamless, incremental fashion, we have to take into account those forces that push in the opposite direction, that oppose the institutionalization of political life. Indeed, we need to consider that such forces might even increase at the same time that there are pressures pushing in the direction of institutionalization. As the mobilizational aspects of the CCP's Leninist past are reduced, so, too, is party discipline; and with the relaxation of party discipline, there are new incentives and opportunities to find other ways of controlling political power. Clientalism is one of them. Thus, whereas a model of incremental change would posit the gradual replacement of Leninist political structures with bureaucratic rationality, it seems that political actors try to develop informal political strategies to hold together the form of Leninism and resist the pressures for bureaucratic rationality.

    Political succession is one area in which we see conflicting imperatives generating different responses to the problem of political control. On the one hand, it creates incentives--legitimacy for the new leader, means for ameliorating political conflict, and better control over the administrative machinery of the state--to push for stronger political and bureaucratic institutions. On the other hand, because the political system is not yet well institutionalized, succession creates anxieties for rulers. Rulers in such situations often resort to nonbureaucratic means to enhance leverage. Thus, Hu Jintao has employed ideological agenda-setting, a rectification campaign, and the promotion of prot¨¦g¨¦s to enhance his power. Such efforts, however, erode the very institutionalization that succession seems to promote and that the political system very much needs.

    The Sixteenth Party Congress appears to be the product of such tensions. The articulation of demands to create strong administrative institutions and the succession of the designated successor, Hu Jintao, suggest a strengthening of institutional norms, while the extraordinary lengths Jiang Zemin went to preserve his influence suggests the continued power of informal, personalistic norms. The fact that Jiang Zemin retired from the CMC two years after the Party Congress suggests that Hu Jintao was able to combine institutional resources with enhanced informal influence. The result of the Sixteenth Party Congress and its aftermath indicate both the need to reform political structures so that they can support the increasing institutionalization of the system and the difficulty of doing so.


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